Teal Forecasts 176 GEO Satellites Worth $28.3-B Will Be Built and Launched Worldwide From 2006-2015
WASHINGTON, Feb. 9, 2006/Satnews Daily/ — Teal Group Corp. has projected a total of 176 GEO commercial satellites, worth $28.3 billion, will be built and launched during 2006-2015.
In a new 10-year market forecast for geostationary orbit commercial satellites, the study said the entry into the market of at least a dozen new satellite operators will also result in orders during the next two years, which means that a relatively high number of satellites should continue to be launched in 2008-2009.
It also cites last year's 19 orders -- an increase of 37 percent over 2004 -- for GEO commercial satellites as a major reason for the near-term increase in launch projections.
“We've been launching an average of just over 15 large commercial satellites annually during the past three years, and we expect this level to remain about the same in 2006” said Marco Caceres, lead analyst for Teal Group's World Space Systems Briefing, the 1,400-page monthly-updated competitive intelligence service, in which this and nine other consolidated forecasts plus over 180 separate space program reports are published.
Caceres noted that there will be some noticeable growth in the market beginning in 2007, with closer to 20 satellites going up each year during 2007-2009. “That will put the market back to where it was in the late 1990s,” he said.
Teal Group said new operators such as TerreStar Networks and WildBlue Communications will join traditional operators such as Intelsat and SES Global. Also, countries such as China and India will build and launch many more satellites that they did during the past 10 years. Of the total GEO commercial satellites forecasted, China and India alone will account for approximately 20 percent, compared with a 22 percent combined share for 19 US companies, including major players such as DirecTV, Echostar, Loral Skynet, Panamsat and SES Americom.
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